Why this month’s inflation figure matters for you

It is a matter of timing that sees the likelihood of a relatively small increase in benefits.

September’s inflation figure has been seen as surprisingly low by analysts.

Equally, a rise in energy bills, which took effect at the start of this month, is expected to push the inflation rate back up again when the next data is published in a month’s time – too late for the link to benefits.

The government, specifically the work and pensions secretary (no doubt working very closely with the chancellor), can decide to set a higher rate of increase for benefits. Charities would welcome such a move, but it would be extremely unlikely.

So, it is expected, for example, that someone receiving attendance allowance, or the highest rate of personal independence payment, would see an increase of about £1.85 a week in April.